Kentucky Derby 2012 Picks: Strategies for the Clueless Bettor

Horse racing experts agree that the 2012 Kentucky Derby has a wide open field, so here are some playful long shot betting strategies to use if you don't have a clue who will win.

For the professional horse racing bettors, there is a complicated calculus scratched out on the racing form that explains who will win the Kentucky Derby. But for the rest of us who bet nearly at random, names and numbers will do.

With Santa Anita Park just a slow trot away, locals without a clue can head on down to the track and place a wager based on these whimsical betting strategies.

  • It's Cinco de Mayo, bet on #5. Pretty simple really. The derby falls on Cinco de Mayo this year, so why not take a chance on the horse with the fifth post position: "Dullahan". The horse is an 8:1 bet. Or go with Spanish-named El Padrino if you want more risk, he's a 20-1 long shot.
  • Bet on the Mint Julep. The 10:1 horse "Hansen" has a trainer named Mike Maker. As in Maker's Mark. As in bourbon, the main ingredient in the derby's signature drink, the Mint Julep. Hey, I didn't promise these would work, folks.
  • Go long. Real long. There are four 50:1 longshots. If you really have no idea what you're doing, slap some money down on Rousing Sermon, Trinniberg, Done Talking, or Liaison and hope for a miracle.
  • Local bet: Monrovia is the Gem City. So bet on "Gemologist." He's got 6:1 odds and has a favorable post position.
T Simon May 05, 2012 at 02:34 AM
I like Doug O'Neill's horse I'll have Another at 12 to 1.


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